Pakistan conducted air strikes in Afghanistan targeting TTP hideouts, sparking Taliban claims of civilian casualties and a stern warning of retaliation. The attacks escalate tensions between the two nations.
The fragile relationship between Pakistan and Afghanistan has reached a critical juncture following Pakistan's recent cross-border air strikes targeting the Pakistan Taliban (TTP) in Afghanistan’s Paktika province. The strikes, which Pakistan claims targeted militant hideouts, have drawn sharp criticism from the Taliban-led Afghan government, which accused Pakistan of indiscriminately killing civilians, including women and children. The Taliban has vowed retaliation, heightening concerns of escalating conflict.
Key Developments
Air Strikes in Afghan Territory
- The air raids, conducted late Tuesday night, targeted areas in Barmal district, close to Pakistan’s South Waziristan region in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.
- While no official statement was released by Pakistan’s Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, unnamed security sources confirmed the operations.
Civilian Casualties Alleged by Taliban
- Afghanistan’s Defence Ministry spokesperson stated:
“The Pakistani side should understand that such arbitrary measures are not a solution to any problem. The Islamic Emirate will not leave this cowardly act unanswered and considers the defense of its territory an inalienable right.”
Context of Rising Violence
- The strikes follow an uptick in TTP-led attacks in Pakistan, including a recent assault in South Waziristan that killed 16 Pakistani soldiers.
- Pakistan has accused the Afghan Taliban of harboring TTP militants, alleging these groups operate from sanctuaries within Afghanistan.
Retaliatory Risks
- Analysts caution that while Afghanistan has promised retaliation, the more immediate threat may arise from the TTP, which has reportedly vowed to avenge the strikes.
Underlying Issues
Pakistan’s Counter-Terrorism Campaign
- The air strikes are part of Pakistan’s ongoing Azm-e-Istehkam military campaign aimed at neutralizing terrorist threats.
- However, analysts argue that inconsistent policies and personality-driven strategies have undermined Pakistan’s ability to address the TTP issue comprehensively.
Pakistan-Afghanistan Relations
- Diplomatic tensions remain high, with Pakistan repeatedly providing evidence to Afghanistan regarding TTP activities. Despite this, Islamabad asserts that its concerns have not been adequately addressed.
Data and Statistics
- TTP's Strength: Approximately 6,000 fighters, posing a direct threat to Pakistan’s security.
- Violence in 2024: Over 856 attacks recorded, a significant rise from 645 incidents in 2023.
- Casualties: 924 deaths reported in 2024, including 570 law enforcement personnel and 351 civilians.
Expert Opinions
- Amir Rana, Director at the Pak Institute for Peace Studies (PIPS):
“Cross-border attacks have become a global norm. However, Pakistan’s inability to develop constructive diplomatic ties with Afghanistan is a significant concern.” - Ihsanullah Tipu, Security Analyst:
“The strikes may provoke retaliation, not just from the Afghan Taliban but also the TTP. A strategy-driven approach, rather than reactive measures, is crucial for long-term stability.”
Potential Consequences
- Escalation of Conflict: With the Taliban promising retaliation, both nations risk heightened border tensions.
- Impact on Diplomacy: Efforts to rebuild trust, such as Mohammad Sadiq’s recent visit to Kabul, may face setbacks due to these developments.
Source: Al Jazeera
